Category Archive

In this week’s Economic & Market Report, winter has come early this year.

Early Market Weakness in December
❄️ The U.S. stock market posted a rare December decline, marking only the fifth negative performance for the month since 2000.
❄️ Stocks faced a long-overdue pullback after a linear climb since late 2023.
❄️ U.S. Treasury yields surged over the past four months, driven by persistent inflation concerns.

Uncertainty in Market Recovery
☃️ Despite Wednesday’s strong market response, key resistance levels in equities remain unbroken, leaving recovery uncertain.
☃️ Sustained declines in Treasury yields are needed to improve equity risk premiums.
☃️ Inflation risks linger due to seasonal data noise, rebuilding efforts from Los Angeles fire damage, and elevated 5-year breakeven rates above 2.50%.

2024 Stock Market Review video with Chief Market Strategist Eric Parnell.

The New Year is officially underway. Following an exceptional 2024 for stocks that ended with an oof and included a surprise election sweep along with lingering inflation concerns that just won’t quit as evidenced by the uneven year for bonds, what are the key indicators to watch for what to expect as we move freshly into 2025. The following are five indicators to watch for 2025.

It is a debate that has confounded investors in capital markets for the last few decades now. What is the true identity of this market? Is it really the strong and confident marketplace reflected by the S&P 500 streaking boldly to new all-time highs as 2024 draws to a close?

It has been a phenomenal year for the U.S. stock market in 2024. The S&P 500 was still trading below 4800 emerging from what had been a strong 2023, and while a good year ahead was anticipated, the idea of the benchmark index cresting 6000 to close out 2024 seemed a long shot at best.

The time of year has come once again for families to gather around the table and give thanks for the good fortunes of life, friends, and health.

Move over Grover Cleveland (22 and 24).  The epic grade school social studies question must now be rewritten, as we are now on the brink of having our second President in U.S. history in Donald Trump (45 and soon to be 47) with the distinction of serving two non-consecutive terms.  But far more important than revisions to our trivia books …

Changes to the political landscape continue to unfold in the wake of the Republican sweep in the 2024 elections.  The financial market reaction has also been dramatic, as U.S. stocks have rallied strongly in the days since Election Day with the removal of the uncertainty of who will be running the executive branch as well as the U.S. Senate and …

The election results are in.  In a stunning outcome, Donald Trump and the GOP emerged from voting on Tuesday with a resounding victory. 

It was all going so well for the doves. The U.S. stock market continued to surge to new all-time highs at the same time that bond yields were plunging, all in anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at their mid-September Open Market Committee meeting.